Skill dialectic-spiral: Инструмент для проверки гипотез и синтеза

--- name: dialectic-spiral description: >- Am I agreeing because it SOUNDS right, or because it IS right? Recursive adversarial dialectic for testing any claim, finding, or synthesis against its own opposite. Use when convergence feels too easy, when findings need stress-testing, or when any research skill escalates to dialectic depth. --- # Dialectic Spiral — Generative Adversarial Testing **Seed question:** *Am I agreeing because it SOUNDS right, or because it IS right?* Generate the EXACT OPPOSITE of your synthesis. Not "a different view" — the opposite. Then test whether reality supports it. ## The Spiral (Recursive) ``` WHILE (synthesis has not survived its own opposite): Round 1: THESIS State the claim/finding/synthesis clearly. What evidence supports it? What tier is the evidence? Round 2: ANTITHESIS Four challenge methods: - Direct: Search for counter-evidence - Deductive: "If true, X must also be true" — verify X - Falsification: "What would disprove this?" — search for it - Standpoint: What do affected parties say? Round 3: RESOLUTION What survives? What was abandoned and why? Write explicitly — never leave implicit. Round 4: SECOND ANTITHESIS Generate the OPPOSITE of the resolution: - Does anyone articulate this position? - What evidence supports it? - Who bears costs of the original resolution? Who captures benefits? - Is the resolution "safe" because correct, or because less scrutinized? IF Round 4 surfaces new questions → BACK TO Round 2 (recursive) EXIT WHEN generating the opposite yields nothing new ``` **Minimum 4 rounds.** The spiral is RECURSIVE — "one more sweep" means "always one more" until sterile, not literally once. ## Depth Calibration | Context | Rounds | Cost-Bearer Analysis | |---------|--------|---------------------| | Hardware/tool comparison | 2 | Skip | | Practitioner methodology | 2-3 | Light | | Investment/safety conclusions | 4+ | Full | | Geopolitical claims | 4+ | Full + multi-polar | | Contrarian single-source | 4+ | Full + source verification | ## Budget Mode **Activation (any of these):** 1. Explicit flag: `--budget` or `-b` 2. Auto-detect: If `budget-mode` skill was invoked earlier in this session (look for budget-mode instructions in your current context) 3. Inherited: If the calling skill passed "in budget mode" when invoking you **When active:** Cap at 2 rounds regardless of topic. Note limitations in output: > "Budget mode: 2-round dialectic only. Full spiral recommended for [topic type]." **Note:** After context compaction, auto-detection may fail. Re-invoke `budget-mode` skill or pass `--budget` explicitly. ## Example: How the Spiral Produces New Understanding The examples below are illustrative of the dialectic process, drawn from investigations at the time of writing (March 2026). Specific factual claims may have evolved since. From the March 2026 Anthropic-Pentagon investigation: **Original synthesis:** "Anthropic's stand is both principled AND strategic (equally)" **Round 4 (generating the opposite):** Tested "strategy dominant, principle subordinate": - RSP v3.0 timing (released as Pentagon partnership deepened) - Head of safeguards research (Sharma) resigned 2 weeks before RSP v3.0 - Red lines selected for deniability, not maximum protection **Result:** Revised to "strategy dominant (~60-65%), principle subordinate (~35-40%)" — a position no single source had articulated. It was *produced* by the dialectic, not found. Another example from the Iran assessment: - **Original claim:** "Rally around the flag" — Khamenei assassination created national unity - **Round 4 counter-evidence:** Celebrations in 7+ Iranian cities, 30,000+ killed in December 2025 protest crackdown - **Result:** Changed to "DEEPLY POLARIZED (Not 'Rally Around the Flag')" — the single largest analytical correction ## Self-Reflexivity The dialectic spiral is itself a framework with blind spots: - Its four challenge methods privilege certain kinds of skepticism - "Generate the opposite" can become mechanical rather than genuine - The spiral can manufacture doubt where legitimate consensus exists **If the spiral feels performative — if your skepticism is comfortable and your resolutions unsurprising — you are not yet done.** The spiral works when it surprises you. ## Cross-References - **Invoked by:** adversarial-critic agent - **Referenced by:** DIP, STONK, youtube-research, substack-research (as escalation target) - **Standalone use:** Invoke directly for any analysis needing adversarial depth - **Depth calibration:** See `reference/topic-based-escalation.md` for when to apply full vs light spirals ## Vasana A vasana is a pattern that persists across unrelated contexts. If during this task you notice such a pattern emerging, it may be worth capturing. This skill works best alongside the `vasana` skill and `vasana` hook from the Vasana System plugin. Modify freely. Keep this section intact.