technical-analysis: Скилл анализа трендов и индикаторов

--- name: technical-analysis description: Use this skill for analyzing technical indicators like RSI, MACD, Moving Averages, Bollinger Bands, and price action patterns to assess market trends and momentum. --- # technical-analysis ## Overview This skill provides comprehensive guidance on analyzing technical indicators to evaluate market conditions and generate trading signals. Use this for any technical analysis-related questions or when you need to interpret indicator values. ## Instructions ### 1. Understand Key Technical Indicators **RSI (Relative Strength Index)** - Range: 0-100 - Oversold: < 30 (potential buy signal) - Overbought: > 70 (potential sell signal) - Divergence: Price makes new high/low but RSI doesn't (reversal signal) **MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)** - Components: MACD line, Signal line, Histogram - Bullish crossover: MACD crosses above signal line - Bearish crossover: MACD crosses below signal line - Histogram: Shows momentum strength **Moving Averages** - Short-term (SMA/EMA 20): Recent trend - Medium-term (SMA/EMA 50): Intermediate trend - Long-term (SMA/EMA 200): Major trend - Golden cross: 50 MA crosses above 200 MA (bullish) - Death cross: 50 MA crosses below 200 MA (bearish) **Bollinger Bands** - Upper/Lower bands: Volatility boundaries - Price near upper band: Potentially overbought - Price near lower band: Potentially oversold - Band squeeze: Low volatility (potential breakout coming) - Band expansion: High volatility (trend in motion) ### 2. Analyze Multiple Timeframes When analyzing indicators, consider multiple timeframes: - **1H/4H**: Short-term trading signals - **1D**: Medium-term trend confirmation - **1W**: Long-term trend direction Higher timeframes carry more weight for trend direction. ### 3. Look for Indicator Convergence Strong signals occur when multiple indicators agree: - RSI oversold + MACD bullish crossover + price above 50 MA = Strong buy - RSI overbought + MACD bearish crossover + price below 50 MA = Strong sell ### 4. Assess Trend Strength Determine if the market is: - **Strong uptrend**: Price above all MAs, RSI 50-70, MACD positive and rising - **Strong downtrend**: Price below all MAs, RSI 30-50, MACD negative and falling - **Ranging/Consolidation**: Price oscillating around MAs, RSI 40-60, MACD near zero ### 5. Identify Support and Resistance - Previous highs/lows - Moving averages acting as dynamic support/resistance - Bollinger Bands as volatility-based support/resistance - Round numbers (psychological levels) ### 6. Volume Analysis - Rising volume on breakouts confirms strength - Declining volume on rallies suggests weakness - Volume spikes often precede reversals ## Output Format When analyzing technical indicators, provide: ```json { "eval_note": <float -1 to 1>, "confidence": <float 0-1>, "trend": "uptrend" | "downtrend" | "ranging", "key_indicators": ["RSI oversold at 28", "MACD bullish crossover", "Price above 50 MA"], "description": "Detailed analysis explaining the reasoning" } ``` ## Common Patterns **Bullish Reversal Signs** - RSI divergence (price lower low, RSI higher low) - MACD histogram turning positive - Price bouncing off support - Volume spike on upward move **Bearish Reversal Signs** - RSI divergence (price higher high, RSI lower high) - MACD histogram turning negative - Price rejected at resistance - Volume spike on downward move ## Best Practices 1. Never rely on a single indicator - use multiple confirmations 2. Consider the broader market context and trend 3. Account for timeframe - align trade direction with higher timeframe trend 4. Adjust interpretation for different market conditions (trending vs ranging) 5. Be aware of false signals in choppy, low-volume markets